Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.306606 0.357738 0.411712 0.472643 0.539231 0.609523 0.689062
2025-01-19 0.237619 0.307913 0.386945 0.481227 0.589503 0.708899 0.849446
2025-01-26 0.191197 0.273847 0.372340 0.495615 0.643125 0.811504 1.015776
2025-02-02 0.156227 0.246828 0.360918 0.510019 0.694854 0.911987 1.181880
2025-02-09 0.122281 0.214858 0.338363 0.506856 0.722911 0.983554 1.314703
2025-02-16 0.100005 0.194482 0.327413 0.515738 0.764228 1.070627 1.466823
2025-02-23 0.078914 0.171672 0.309799 0.513137 0.789086 1.136541 1.593315
2025-03-02 0.057764 0.144119 0.281553 0.492700 0.788033 1.168133 1.676380
2025-03-09 0.046773 0.131202 0.273090 0.498462 0.820952 1.242761 1.813757
2025-03-16 0.035013 0.113794 0.255145 0.488395 0.830719 1.286410 1.911458
2025-03-23 0.030341 0.109420 0.257732 0.508606 0.882732 1.386223 2.082437
2025-03-30 0.023650 0.098669 0.247988 0.508770 0.905595 1.446917 2.202908
2025-04-06 0.018127 0.088993 0.239222 0.510223 0.930885 1.512313 2.332075
2025-04-13 0.014700 0.083526 0.237473 0.522620 0.972318 1.600325 2.492331
2025-04-20 0.012249 0.079911 0.238748 0.539785 1.021004 1.698890 2.667701
2025-04-27 0.010116 0.076377 0.239678 0.556174 1.068687 1.796611 2.842980
2025-05-04 0.007184 0.068259 0.229976 0.553488 1.086836 1.852920 2.962843
2025-05-11 0.005512 0.063894 0.227637 0.563282 1.124151 1.936528 3.120366
2025-05-18 0.003699 0.057121 0.218834 0.560745 1.141763 1.992015 3.239839
2025-05-25 0.001874 0.047122 0.200503 0.539192 1.128064 2.001768 3.296108
2025-06-01 0.001219 0.043496 0.197202 0.545377 1.158727 2.075856 3.441678
2025-06-08 0.000549 0.037215 0.185660 0.534734 1.161326 2.108623 3.529807
2025-06-15 0.000411 0.036848 0.190362 0.556203 1.217225 2.220394 3.729226